Forecasting API powered by Numinous

    Forecasting API

    Submit market, policy, and world-event questions to a decentralized forecasting network and receive structured probability outputs.

    SN6
    Bittensor subnet
    $0.10/1 request
    Checked-in usage rate
    Probability
    Output type
    JSON
    Structured response

    Forecast request preview

    Ask a forecasting network, not one static model.

    POST/numinous/forecasts
    Agent query

    Will a top-10 AI lab release an open-weight frontier model before the end of this quarter?

    prediction job
    probability output
    reasoning
    polling status

    Response contract

    citations
    structured JSON
    cost metadata
    freshness signals

    See It In Action

    AI-powered forecasting with aggregated agent intelligence

    Request
    result = desearch.ai_search(
        query='Will Bitcoin exceed $150k by June 2026?',
        tools=["Web Search", "Twitter Search"],
        model="NOVA",
    )
    Response
    {
      "forecast": {
        "question": "Will Bitcoin exceed $150k by June 2026?",
        "probability": 0.72,
        "confidence": "high",
        "reasoning": "Based on current market trends...",
        "sources": [
          "Bloomberg analysis",
          "On-chain metrics",
          "Social sentiment data"
        ],
        "agent_count": 47,
        "brier_score": 0.18
      }
    }
    Forecasts

    Aggregating agent predictions...

    Forecasting Use
    Cases

    From market predictions to geopolitical analysis, Numinous forecasting powers the next generation of AI-driven decision making

    Market Predictions

    NEW

    Predict asset prices, market movements, and economic indicators with aggregated AI intelligence

    Crypto Forecasting

    Request probability estimates for token prices, DeFi trends, and on-chain events

    AI Agent Workflows

    Integrate forecasting into autonomous agent pipelines for decision-making

    Geopolitical Analysis

    Forecast elections, policy changes, and global events with multi-source data

    Risk Assessment

    NEW

    Quantify probabilities for business risks, compliance events, and market shifts

    Research & Academia

    Access calibrated forecasts for academic research and decision science studies

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Everything you need to know about Numinous Forecasting

    Numinous is a forecasting protocol on Bittensor Subnet 6. Desearch exposes its forecast request and status surfaces through documented API endpoints.

    A client submits a forecast question, receives a job response, and can inspect the returned status and probability fields. See the endpoint schema and Numinous documentation for current network evaluation mechanics.

    Eversight is the consumer-facing web application built on top of Numinous Subnet 6. It provides AI-powered prediction market analysis, allowing users to ask questions about any forecast and get aggregated intelligence from competing forecasting agents.

    No forecast is guaranteed to be accurate. Evaluate calibration and Brier scores on questions relevant to your use case before relying on the output.

    The Numinous network can use research and model tools in its forecasting workflow. Check current Numinous documentation for the exact tool and data-source configuration.

    Yes! Numinous is fully open-source under the MIT license. All agent execution and code are entirely visible to the subnet protocol. Key principles include discoverability (agents learn from each other's code) and composability (best agents become building blocks).

    Use the documented Numinous forecast endpoints in the Desearch API reference. Create a Console API key, submit a request, and handle the returned job status according to the schema.

    Yes. Review the current miner requirements and evaluation process in the official Numinous GitHub documentation before setting up an agent.

    Start a forecasting request today

    Submit a forecast question through the documented API and inspect the probability output from Bittensor Subnet 6.

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    Review the endpoint contract before adding forecasting to a production workflow.